Rays at Brewers Game 2: Take the Brewers at Home

World Series Game 2 is Saturday night in Milwaukee, and the Brewers are a home favorite for a reason. They are 8-1 this October, they have won six straight postseason games, and they just survived the exact kind of ninth inning that breaks a lesser team.

Logan Henderson starts for Milwaukee. He went 11-3 with a 2.47 ERA in the regular season. Drew Rasmussen starts for Tampa Bay. He went 16-5 with a 2.67 ERA, and he has allowed three runs in 19 postseason innings. Rasmussen is the one Rays arm who can steal a game on the road, and that is why this line is not bigger.

Betting angle

Brewers moneyline (-122). Milwaukee at home, with the crowd, with the series lead, with a bullpen that just closed the door with the tying run on third. Tampa Bay has to win this game to stay in the series, and that desperation cuts both ways. Take the home team at a fair price.

Watch Saturday at 7:00 PM CT on FOX from Milwaukee.